- ND-AL is rated Safe Republican — R+33.2 in 2024. North Dakota's oil economy and rural culture produce some of the nation's highest Republican margins at every level.
- Fedorchak brings specialized energy regulation expertise to Congress, giving North Dakota's oil and gas industry a technically knowledgeable advocate for pipeline permitting, energy infrastructure investment, and Bakken development policy.
- North Dakota's Bakken formation makes it one of the top oil-producing states in the US, meaning federal energy policy — drilling permits, pipeline approvals, and environmental regulations — directly affects the state's primary economic driver.
- As a first-term representative, Fedorchak is building committee assignments and institutional relationships that will determine her long-term effectiveness for North Dakota's Republican constituency.
ND-AL is Safe R. Fedorchak won the open seat decisively in 2024 and faces no meaningful Democratic opposition in 2026. North Dakota consistently delivers 60%+ for Republicans at every level. Full House overview →
The District & State
North Dakota's at-large congressional district covers the entire state. North Dakota has approximately 780,000 residents and is one of the least densely populated states. Its economy was transformed by the Bakken shale oil boom beginning around 2008 — North Dakota became the second-largest oil-producing state in the US, with oil revenues funding a state budget that eliminated income tax and accumulated a large legacy fund. The boom has moderated since 2015 but oil production remains central to the state economy.
The seat was held by Kelly Armstrong from 2019 until he ran successfully for governor in 2024. Fedorchak, who had served as North Dakota Public Service Commission chair since 2013, won the open seat with her deep energy regulatory expertise. She brings direct knowledge of pipeline siting, utility regulation, and energy infrastructure that is particularly relevant for a state whose economy depends on oil and gas transport infrastructure.
See Wikipedia's ND-AL overview and Fedorchak's Ballotpedia profile.
District Election History
Key Issues
Bakken Energy Development
North Dakota's Bakken formation is one of the largest oil plays in North American history. Federal permitting for drilling on federal lands, pipeline approvals (including the controversial Dakota Access Pipeline), and environmental regulations affecting oil and gas operations are existential issues for North Dakota's state economy and tax base.
Agricultural Policy
Alongside oil, North Dakota is a leading producer of wheat, sunflowers, canola, dry beans, and other crops. The farm bill, crop insurance programs, and agricultural trade policy are critical to the state's farmers. Trump's tariffs and retaliatory tariffs have affected North Dakota agricultural exports significantly, creating tension between farm community support for Trump and concern about trade disruption.
Water Rights & Missouri River
The Missouri River is North Dakota's water lifeline. Corps of Engineers management of Garrison Dam and Lake Sakakawea affects municipal water supply, irrigation, navigation, and flood control. The Standing Rock Sioux Tribe's water rights and the Dakota Access Pipeline route through tribal lands created national controversy that Fedorchak navigates carefully as both an energy advocate and representative of tribal communities.
