US Polls 2026
Generic Ballot · Trump Approval Rating · Senate & House Balance — aggregated from Quinnipiac, Gallup, Morning Consult, Reuters/Ipsos, Emerson and others.
Deep Dive Trackers
Trump Approval Rating
Day-by-day chart since Jan 2025, partisan breakdown, historical comparison to all modern presidents at Day 440.
Generic Congressional Ballot
Trend chart from Jan 2025 to today, seat translation table, and historical midterm comparisons.
Generic Congressional Ballot
What is the Generic Ballot? →The Generic Ballot asks voters which party they would support for Congress without naming specific candidates. It is the single strongest predictor of House seat change in midterm elections.
Trump Approval Rating
Presidential approval is one of the most reliable structural predictors of midterm outcomes. When a president's approval falls below 50%, his party historically loses significant ground in Congress.
Senate Balance
Senate Explained →House Balance
Trump Approval vs. Midterm History
Presidential approval at midterm is the strongest structural predictor of seat loss. Presidents below 45% approval have lost an average of 37 House seats. Trump currently sits at approximately 39%.
| President | Approval at Midterm | House Seat Change | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Obama 2010 | 45% | -63 | Lost House majority |
| Clinton 1994 | 46% | -54 | Lost House + Senate |
| Reagan 1982 | 42% | -26 | Lost seats, kept Senate |
| Obama 2014 | 40% | -13 | Lost Senate majority |
| Trump 2018 | 44% | -41 | Lost House majority |
| Biden 2022 | 42% | -9 | Overperformed forecast |
| Trump 2026 | ~39% | ??? | Election Nov 3, 2026 |
2026 Senate Battleground Snapshot
All Senate Races →What the Generic Ballot Lead Means
The current Democratic lead of approximately 7.0 points on the Generic Ballot is historically significant. In midterm elections, a party leading the Generic Ballot by 5+ points typically translates to a net gain of 20–40 House seats — enough to flip the House majority, which requires a net pick-up of 5 seats from the current 222–213 split.
Historical reference points: In 2018, Democrats led by +8.6 points nationally and gained 41 seats. In 2010, Republicans led by +6.8 points and gained 63 seats. The Generic Ballot slightly underestimates seat gains due to geographic clustering of Democratic votes in urban districts.
Full Generic Ballot Explainer →Methodology
Polling average: All numbers shown are averages across multiple national polls conducted within the past 30 days. Individual polls from Quinnipiac University, Gallup, Morning Consult, Reuters/Ipsos, Emerson College, and Marist College are weighted by recency and sample size.
Generic Ballot: Registered voter samples only. Likely voter screens tighten the numbers slightly closer to Election Day.
Approval Rating: Averages adult samples and registered voter samples. Trump's approval among likely voters tends to run 1–2 points higher than among all adults.
Update frequency: Data is refreshed whenever major pollsters release new national surveys, typically multiple times per week.
All Poll Categories
Browse every polling tracker on USPollingData.com — approval ratings, issue polls, race forecasts, and more.
Trump Approval Rating
Day-by-day chart since Jan 2025. Currently 38.6% approve / 58.0% disapprove.
Presidential Approval History
All modern presidents compared at Day 100, Day 365, and midterm. How does Trump rank?
2026 Midterm Tracker
House and Senate seat projections updated as new polling arrives. D needs +5 for House.
Generic Congressional Ballot
Democrats lead D+7.0 as of April 2026 — strongest D margin since Aug 2018. Monthly history since Jan 2025.
Battleground Tracker
All toss-up and competitive districts rated. Senate and House battlegrounds in one view.
State-Level Polls
Individual state polling averages for Senate and Governor races. All 50 states covered.
Issue Polls 2026
Top issues driving the 2026 vote: economy, healthcare, immigration, abortion. Aggregate polling.
Trump Tariffs Polling
35% approve, 58% oppose. How trade policy is dragging Republican numbers in competitive districts.
Medicaid Polling
Proposed Medicaid cuts: -59 net nationally. The most toxic Republican policy position of 2026.
Healthcare Polling
ACA support, Medicaid, drug pricing. Healthcare is the #1 issue for Democratic base voters in 2026.
Abortion Polling
62% support abortion access. 7-for-7 ballot wins since Dobbs. Top Democratic turnout driver.
Immigration Polling
Split issue: 47% support deportations, 60% oppose deporting US-born children. Full breakdown.
Economy Polling
GDP +2.0% Q1 2026 but PCE inflation 4.5%. Consumer confidence at 57. Only 37% approve of Trump's economic handling.
Gun Policy Polling
60%+ support universal background checks. How gun policy correlates with suburban Republican erosion.
Climate Polling
65% support clean energy investment. How climate attitudes split by district type and age group.
Related Explainers
Race Trackers
Senate Race Tracker
All competitive Senate races, ratings, and the path to a majority. GA, PA, WI, NH and 8 more battlegrounds.
House Race Tracker
Toss-up and Lean districts, current ratings, and Democrats' path to the +5 they need for majority.
Trump Approval Tracker
Daily updated presidential approval and disapproval averages across all major pollsters.
News Analysis: What the Polls Mean
Numbers tell half the story. These analyses explain what the current polling environment means for the 2026 cycle.