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US Polling Data 2026

Generic Ballot · Trump Approval · Senate & House Balance — plus EU & Germany. Independent, updated daily.

D+7.4

Generic Ballot

View All Polls → Battleground Tracker Parties →

Election Night — Nov 3, 2026 | Updated Oct 10, 2026| Methodology → | 15+ Pollsters | No Political Agenda

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Governors 2026 Explainers EU Issues

Generic Ballot

D+7.4

D 49.3% · R 41.9%

Trump Approval

37%

60% disapprove

Senate Balance

53R – 47D

D needs +4 for majority

House Balance

222R – 213D

D needs +5 for majority

Days Until Election

Nov 3, 2026

Right Track

21%

74% wrong track

Your state:

Community Data

Reader Ballot: Month by Month

Our own reader-poll generic ballot, tracked every month since launch — not a scientific sample, but a real trend line from our own community.

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Party	∅	Oct 2026 LIVE	Sep 2026	Aug 2026
Democrats	77.2	77.2 (−0.6) (+30.0)	77.8 (−1.2) (+30.6)	79.0 (+31.8)
Republicans	16.6	16.6 (−0.3) (−33.2)	16.9 (+2.1) (−32.9)	14.8 (−35.0)
Independent	5.3	5.3 (+0.9)	4.4 (−0.4)	4.8
Other / Undecided	1.0	1.0 (±0.0)	1.0 (−0.4)	1.4

Latest Analysis

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Analysis

Generic Ballot September 2026: Democrats Widen Lead to Nearly D+8 Ahead of Midterms

Analysis

Trump Approval Rating September 2026: New Term Low After Shutdown Fight

Analysis

AfD Wins Big in Germany Again — And Trump, Musk, and Vance Keep Showing Up in the Story

Analysis

Berlin Elects a Socialist Party as Its Strongest Force — Then an Antisemitism Storm Erupts

Analysis

Most Popular Politicians Summer 2026: Barack Obama, Bernie Sanders, Arnold Schwarzenegger & More | USPollingData

Analysis

JD Vance on Real Time with Bill Maher: Iran, ICE, and the 2028 Calculus

Key Swing States 2026

All 50 States →

Toss-up

Pennsylvania

R+1.7 — McCormick vs. ?? in 2026 Senate

Toss-up

Wisconsin

Johnson 38% approval — D's best flip

Toss-up

Georgia

Ossoff defending in R+2.1 state

Lean D

Michigan

Slotkin Senate, Whitmer Governor

Toss-up

Maine

Collins Senate — most at-risk R

Lean D

Nevada

Rosen Senate + Lombardo Governor

Generic Ballot — 2026 Midterm Trend

Full Tracker →

Democrats

49.3%

Republicans

41.9%

40%

42%44%46%48%50%52%

Aggregated poll average of all major polling firms. Updated daily. Margin of error: ±2–3pp.

Senate Battlegrounds 2026

All Races →

Republicans hold 53–47. Democrats need +4 for a working majority. These are the make-or-break races.

TOSS-UP

Wisconsin

Ron Johnson (R) defending

38% approval — D's clearest flip target. D+2 state.

TOSS-UP

Pennsylvania

Dave McCormick (R) defending

Won 2024 by 1.7%. Philly suburbs key.

TOSS-UP

Georgia

Jon Ossoff (D) defending

Most endangered Democrat. Trump won GA +2.1.

TOSS-UP

Maine

Susan Collins (R) defending

D+7 state. Moderate brand under strain.

LEAN R

North Carolina

Thom Tillis (R) defending

Won 2020 by 1.7%. NC trending purple.

▶

All Races

Full tracker →

Approval Ratings — Key Politicians

All Profiles →

Approve/Disapprove net ratings from aggregated polling. Trump data updates daily.

Former Vice President

House Minority Leader

Senate Minority Leader

Senate R (retiring 2026)

-40

Approve18%

Disapprove58%

Net = Approve minus Disapprove. Trump data from live JSON. Others: recent pollster average.

Politicians to Watch 2026

Maine Senate — Toss-up

Elissa Slotkin

Michigan Senate — Lean D

Jim Jordan

House Judiciary Chair

MTG

Georgia — Senate 2026?

Tulsi Gabbard

Director of Nat. Intelligence

Elise Stefanik

UN Ambassador

Liz Cheney

Former Rep. — Anti-MAGA

Nancy Pelosi

House Minority Leader

Kamala Harris

Former Vice President

▶

All Profiles

238 politicians →

Senate Races 2026

All Senate Races →

Analysis

Republican Senate Majority 2026 Forecast: Can the GOP Hold 53 Seats?

Can Republicans hold their 53-seat Senate majority in 2026? July forecast analyzes the 10 most competitive races, path scenarios, and historical wave election data. Current rating: Lean R hold.

Analysis

Senate 2026 Polls: July Update — 11 Competitive Races, Republican Majority at Stake

Analysis

Senate 2026 Key Races: July Battleground Update and Forecast

Analysis

NH Senate 2026: Shaheen Retiring, Open Seat Battle in a Swing State

Policy & Issues

All Issues →

Analysis

Arizona Immigration Law 2026: SB1070 Legacy, Current Enforcement, and Polling

Arizona's immigration laws in 2026: SB1070's legal legacy, current enforcement under Trump's policies, E-Verify, border wall status, and how Arizona voters poll on immigration — the state with America's longest-running immigration debate.

Analysis

Abortion 3 Years After Dobbs: Ballot Wins, Republican Moderation & 2026 Stakes

Analysis

Kitchen-Table Economics 2026: Groceries +8%, Rent +30%, Wages +4.1%

Analysis

Trump Immigration Legal Challenges 2026: 47 Court Orders, SCOTUS, AEA

House Races to Watch

All Districts →

Toss-up

New York 22nd

Brandon Williams (R) vs. D challenger

Harris +4 in district · Top D flip target

Toss-up

Colorado 8th

Gabe Evans (R) vs. Yadira Caraveo (D)

Won by 0.5% in 2024 · D wants rematch

Toss-up

Arizona 6th

Juan Ciscomani (R) won by 0.7%

Tucson suburbs · 3rd time D tries to flip

Key Issues 2026

All Issues →

62%

support access

Abortion Rights

7-for-7 ballot wins. Top D mobilizer since Dobbs.

-59

net on Medicaid cuts

Healthcare & Medicaid

Cuts poll worse than ACA repeal did in 2018.

35%

approve tariffs

Tariffs & Economy

GDP +2.0% Q1, but PCE inflation 4.5% — stagflation warning.

47%

support deportations

Immigration

Split issue. US-born child deportations: 60% oppose.

88%

oppose SS cuts

Social Security

The third rail. 88% oppose cuts — including most Republicans.

63%

support Ukraine aid

Foreign Policy & NATO

Most back NATO and Ukraine despite Trump's dealmaking.

The Transnational Desk — International

🇩🇪Germany

Bundestag polls, CDU/SPD coalition, AfD — all parties tracked.

19.5% CDU/CSU 13.5% SPD 27.9% AfD

🇪🇺European Union

27 member states, EU Parliament — Trump tariff impact on Europe covered.

720 seats · Next election: 2029

📚Explainers

Electoral College, Generic Ballot, Midterms, Swing States — 170+ explainers.

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Profiles

Politicians

Trump, Harris, Pelosi & 115 more

Senate 2026

Senate Races

Who flips the chamber?

House 2026

House Districts

60+ competitive districts

Governors

Gov. Races 2026

38 states, 11 competitive

History

Election History

Every election since 1912

States

All 50 States

Polling snapshot for every state

Latest Poll Snapshot

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Metric	Dem / Approve	Rep / Disapprove	Margin	Updated
Generic Ballot 2026	49.3%	41.9%	D+7.4%	Oct 10
Trump Approval	36.9%	60.4%	Net -24	Oct 10
Right Track / Wrong Track	21.0%	74.0%	Wrong +53%	Oct 10
Senate Balance	47.0%	53.0%	R+6 seats	Oct 10
House Balance	213.0%	222.0%	R+9 seats	Oct 10