NLInternational / Netherlands
Netherlands – Polls & Elections
Last updated: 9 Oct 2026
Leading
PRO
17.2%
Lead
5.2 pts
over VVD
Pollsters
3
Latest poll: 2 Oct 2026
Next election
due 2029
General election
PRO since last week
±0.0 pts
vs 3 Oct 2026
VVD since last week
±0.0 pts
vs 3 Oct 2026
PVV since last week
±0.0 pts
vs 3 Oct 2026
Current picture
House of Representatives voting intention · If an election were held today
As of: 2 Oct 2026 · Method: Average of the latest poll from 3 pollsters · Source: Ipsos, Peil.nl, Verian, PolitPro
Polls are snapshots, not forecasts.
Polls are snapshots, not forecasts.
Political system
House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer)
150 seats · Majority from 76 seats
Electoral system
Pure proportional representation with no formal threshold; roughly 0.67% of votes (1 of 150 seats) is needed
Polling trend
Rolling average across recent polls
PROVVDPVVD66CDAJA21FvD
Latest polls
Individual pollster surveys, newest first
| Pollster | Date | PRO | VVD | PVV | D66 | CDA | JA21 | FvD | 50+ | SP | PvdD | CU | SGP | Volt | DENK | BBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peil.nl | 2 Oct 2026 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Verian | 28 Sep 2026 | 17.8 | 11.5 | 12.8 | 11.3 | 9.2 | 9.6 | 6.9 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 2.6 | – | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Verian | 28 Sep 2026 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Ipsos | 2 Sep 2026 | 16.6 | 12.5 | 10.8 | 11.3 | 10.0 | 9.1 | 8.8 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Ipsos | 2 Sep 2026 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Sitzverteilung (Näherung)
Wenn das Umfragemittel das Wahlergebnis wäre
Näherung: D'Hondt landesweit auf Basis des Umfragemittels vom 2 Oct 2026 (150 Sitze, absolute Mehrheit ab 76). Die tatsächliche Verteilung der Reststimmen weicht leicht ab. Rechenübung, keine Prognose.
Rechnerische Mehrheiten
Kleinste Kombinationen ab 76 von 150 Sitzen, höchstens vier Parteien
PRO + VVD + PVV + D6680 Sitze
PRO + VVD + PVV + CDA78 Sitze
PRO + VVD + PVV + JA2177 Sitze
PRO + VVD + D66 + CDA77 Sitze
PRO + PVV + D66 + CDA77 Sitze
PRO + VVD + D66 + JA2176 Sitze
PRO + PVV + D66 + JA2176 Sitze
Reine Rechenübung auf Basis der Sitznäherung oben, keine Prognose und keine Aussage über mögliche Koalitionen.
Elections
General election
National
due 2029
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