Germany – Polls & Elections

Latest polls, parties and elections in Germany. Federal voting intention (Bundestag): AfD leads on 27.8% ahead of CDU/CSU (19.6%).

Last updated: 3 Oct 2026

Leading

AfD

27.8%

Lead

8.2 pts

over CDU/CSU

Pollsters

Latest poll: 3 Oct 2026

Next election

due 2029

Federal election

Current picture

Federal voting intention (Bundestag) · If an election were held today

All polls →

AfD27.8%−0.7 pts CDU/CSU19.6%+0.5 pts Greens15.0%±0.0 pts SPD13.6%±0.0 pts Die Linke11.4%+0.2 pts FDP3.8%−0.3 pts BSW3.3%−0.2 pts

2025 federal election

As of: 3 Oct 2026 · Method: Weighted average of recent pollster surveys · Source: DAWUM, wahlrecht.de
Polls are snapshots, not forecasts.

Political system

Government

CDU/CSU and SPD, Chancellor Friedrich Merz (CDU)

Bundestag

630 seats · Majority from 316 seats

Electoral system

Mixed-member proportional representation, 5% threshold (or 3 constituency seats)

Polling trend

Rolling average across recent polls

AfDCDU/CSUGreensSPDDie LinkeFDPBSW

Latest polls

Individual pollster surveys, newest first

All polls →

Pollster	Date	AfD	CDU/CSU	Greens	SPD	Die Linke	FDP	BSW
INSA	3 Oct 2026	30.0	18.0	14.0	14.0	10.0	4.0	4.0
Infratest dimap	1 Oct 2026	27.0	20.0	16.0	13.0	11.0	4.0	–
Forsa	29 Sep 2026	26.0	19.0	16.0	14.0	12.0	4.0	3.0
INSA	29 Sep 2026	29.5	19.0	14.5	14.5	10.0	4.0	3.5
INSA	26 Sep 2026	29.0	19.0	15.0	14.0	10.0	4.0	3.0
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	25 Sep 2026	28.0	21.0	14.0	13.0	12.0	3.0	–
Verian (Emnid)	25 Sep 2026	28.0	20.0	15.0	14.0	12.0	4.0	3.0
Allensbach	24 Sep 2026	28.0	23.0	14.0	13.0	10.0	5.0	–

Elections

Federal election

National

due 2029

State election Saarland

State · scheduled

18 Apr 2027

197 days to election

State election Schleswig-Holstein

State · scheduled

18 Apr 2027

197 days to election

State election North Rhine-Westphalia

State · scheduled

25 Apr 2027

204 days to election

States

Latest poll per region

Baden-WürttembergLatest poll: 10 Apr 2026Greens›BavariaNext election: 1 Oct 2028CSU›BerlinLatest poll: 18 Sep 2026Die Linke›BrandenburgLatest poll: 24 Jun 2026AfD›BremenNext election: 30 May 2027CDU›HamburgLatest poll: 30 Sep 2026SPD›HesseNext election: 1 Oct 2028CDU›Mecklenburg-VorpommernLatest poll: 17 Sep 2026SPD›Lower SaxonyNext election: 1 Oct 2027SPD›North Rhine-WestphaliaNext election: 25 Apr 2027CDU›Rhineland-PalatinateLatest poll: 20 Aug 2026CDU›SaarlandNext election: 18 Apr 2027SPD›Saxony-AnhaltLatest poll: 3 Sep 2026AfD›SaxonyLatest poll: 21 May 2026AfD›Schleswig-HolsteinNext election: 18 Apr 2027CDU›ThuringiaLatest poll: 2 Jul 2026AfD›

Parties

All parties →

AfDAlternative für Deutschland27.8%›CDU/CSUChristlich Demokratische Union / Christlich-Soziale Union19.6%›GreensBündnis 90/Die Grünen15.0%›SPDSozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands13.6%›Die LinkeDie Linke11.4%›FDPFreie Demokratische Partei3.8%›BSWBündnis Sahra Wagenknecht3.3%›

History

vs 2025 federal election

Party	2025 federal election	Poll average	Change
AfD	20.8%	27.8%	+7.0 pts
CDU/CSU	28.5%	19.6%	−8.9 pts
Greens	11.6%	15.0%	+3.4 pts
SPD	16.4%	13.6%	−2.8 pts
Die Linke	8.8%	11.4%	+2.6 pts
FDP	4.3%	3.8%	−0.5 pts
BSW	5.0%	3.3%	−1.7 pts