Germany – Polls & Elections

Latest polls, parties and elections in Germany. Federal voting intention (Bundestag): AfD leads on 27.9% ahead of CDU/CSU (19.5%).

Last updated: 9 Oct 2026

Leading

AfD

27.9%

Lead

8.4 pts

over CDU/CSU

Pollsters

Latest poll: 8 Oct 2026

Next election

due 2029

Federal election

AfD since last week

+0.1 pts

vs 3 Oct 2026

CDU/CSU since last week

−0.1 pts

vs 3 Oct 2026

Greens since last week

+0.5 pts

vs 3 Oct 2026

Current picture

Federal voting intention (Bundestag) · If an election were held today

All polls →

AfD27.9%−0.1 pts CDU/CSU19.5%+0.3 pts Greens15.5%+0.8 pts SPD13.5%−0.1 pts Die Linke11.3%+0.1 pts FDP3.9%+0.3 pts BSW3.3%−0.3 pts

2025 federal election

As of: 8 Oct 2026 · Method: Weighted average of recent pollster surveys · Source: DAWUM, wahlrecht.de
Polls are snapshots, not forecasts.

Political system

Government

CDU/CSU and SPD, Chancellor Friedrich Merz (CDU)

Bundestag

630 seats · Majority from 316 seats

Electoral system

Mixed-member proportional representation, 5% threshold (or 3 constituency seats)

Polling trend

Rolling average across recent polls

AfDCDU/CSUGreensSPDDie LinkeFDPBSW

Latest polls

Individual pollster surveys, newest first

All polls →

Pollster	Date	Details	AfD	CDU/CSU	Greens	SPD	Die Linke	FDP	BSW
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	8 Oct 2026	n=1,311 · Telefon & Online · 5.10.–7.10.	28.0	21.0	15.0	13.0	12.0	3.0	–
Ipsos	8 Oct 2026	n=2,002 · Online · 30.9.–4.10.	28.0	20.0	15.0	13.0	12.0	4.0	3.0
Forsa	6 Oct 2026	n=2,502 · Telefonisch · 29.9.–5.10.	26.0	19.0	17.0	14.0	11.0	4.0	–
INSA	5 Oct 2026	n=2,002 · Online · 2.10.–5.10.	30.5	17.5	14.5	14.5	10.5	4.5	3.5
INSA	3 Oct 2026	n=1,202 · Telefon & Online · 28.9.–2.10.	30.0	18.0	14.0	14.0	10.0	4.0	4.0
Infratest dimap	1 Oct 2026	n=1,303 · Telefon & Online · 28.9.–30.9.	27.0	20.0	16.0	13.0	11.0	4.0	–
Forsa	29 Sep 2026	n=2,501 · Telefonisch · 22.9.–28.9.	26.0	19.0	16.0	14.0	12.0	4.0	3.0
INSA	29 Sep 2026	n=2,001 · Online · 25.9.–28.9.	29.5	19.0	14.5	14.5	10.0	4.0	3.5

Elections

Federal election

National

due 2029

State election Saarland

State · scheduled

18 Apr 2027

190 days to election

State election Schleswig-Holstein

State · scheduled

18 Apr 2027

190 days to election

State election North Rhine-Westphalia

State · scheduled

25 Apr 2027

197 days to election

States

Latest poll per region

Baden-WürttembergLatest poll: 10 Apr 2026Greens›BavariaNext election: 1 Oct 2028CSU›BerlinLatest poll: 8 Oct 2026Die Linke›BrandenburgLatest poll: 24 Jun 2026AfD›BremenNext election: 30 May 2027CDU›HamburgLatest poll: 30 Sep 2026SPD›HesseNext election: 1 Oct 2028CDU›Mecklenburg-VorpommernLatest poll: 17 Sep 2026SPD›Lower SaxonyNext election: 1 Oct 2027SPD›North Rhine-WestphaliaNext election: 25 Apr 2027CDU›Rhineland-PalatinateLatest poll: 20 Aug 2026CDU›SaarlandNext election: 18 Apr 2027SPD›Saxony-AnhaltLatest poll: 3 Sep 2026AfD›SaxonyLatest poll: 21 May 2026AfD›Schleswig-HolsteinNext election: 18 Apr 2027CDU›ThuringiaLatest poll: 2 Jul 2026AfD›

Parties

All parties →

AfDAlternative für Deutschland27.9%›CDU/CSUChristlich Demokratische Union / Christlich-Soziale Union19.5%›GreensBündnis 90/Die Grünen15.5%›SPDSozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands13.5%›Die LinkeDie Linke11.3%›FDPFreie Demokratische Partei3.9%›BSWBündnis Sahra Wagenknecht3.3%›

History

vs 2025 federal election

Party	2025 federal election	Poll average	Change
AfD	20.8%	27.9%	+7.1 pts
CDU/CSU	28.5%	19.5%	−9.0 pts
Greens	11.6%	15.5%	+3.9 pts
SPD	16.4%	13.5%	−2.9 pts
Die Linke	8.8%	11.3%	+2.5 pts
FDP	4.3%	3.9%	−0.4 pts
BSW	5.0%	3.3%	−1.7 pts