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Lower Saxony – Polls & Elections

State · Germany

Last updated: 3 Oct 2026
Leading
SPD
26.0%
Lead
4.0 pts
over CDU
Latest poll
11 Sep 2026
INSA
Next election
1 Oct 2027
State election

Current picture

State election · INSA, 11 Sep 2026

SPD26.0%
CDU22.0%
AfD21.0%
Greens15.0%
Die Linke6.0%
FDP5.0%
BSW3.0%
Others2.0%
Source: INSA · As of 11 Sep 2026 · DAWUM
Polls are snapshots, not forecasts.

Polling trend

Rolling average across recent polls

010203014 Nov11 Sep25.8 SPD25.0 CDU20.5 AfD12.3 Greens6.5 Die Linke3.8 FDP3.5 BSW
SPDCDUAfDGreensDie LinkeFDPBSW

Latest polls

Individual pollster surveys, newest first

PollsterDateSPDCDUAfDGreensDie LinkeFDPBSW
INSA11 Sep 202626.022.021.015.06.05.03.0
INSA22 Apr 202625.025.020.012.07.04.03.0
Allensbach25 Feb 202626.027.021.010.07.03.0–
Infratest dimap19 Nov 202526.026.020.012.06.03.03.0
INSA19 Feb 202525.030.016.010.05.05.05.0
Allensbach5 Dec 202427.033.016.010.0–4.04.0
INSA12 Nov 202426.031.016.010.02.04.06.0
Infratest dimap8 Nov 202425.032.015.012.0––4.0
Allensbach5 Feb 202429.030.021.011.02.04.0–
Infratest dimap14 Nov 202326.028.018.013.0–5.0–

Elections

State election Lower Saxony
State · scheduled
1 Oct 2027
363 days to election
Federal election
National
due 2029

Parties

LIVE
Generic Ballot Democrats49.3% Republicans41.9% D+7.4 Trump Approval Approve37% Disapprove60% Senate D47 R53 House D213 R222 Generic Ballot Tracker Trump Approval Senate 2026 House 2026 Latest Analysis

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