2028 Presidential Race: Early Polling and Candidates

While the 2026 midterms are the immediate focus, the 2028 presidential race is already taking shape. Trump is constitutionally ineligible for a third term, creating an open Republican primary for the first time since 2016. Democrats must rebuild after back-to-back losses.

Republican 2028 Potential Candidates

CandidateFavorable (R primary)Current Role
JD Vance54%Vice President
Ron DeSantis38%Former Governor (FL term-limited)
Glenn Youngkin28%Governor of Virginia
Marco Rubio35%Secretary of State
Tim Scott24%Senator (SC)

Democratic 2028 Potential Candidates

CandidateFavorable (D primary)Current Role
Gavin Newsom32%Governor of California (term-limited 2026)
Josh Shapiro28%Governor of Pennsylvania
Pete Buttigieg25%Former Transportation Secretary
Gretchen Whitmer22%Governor of Michigan
Wes Moore18%Governor of Maryland

Frequently Asked Questions

Who are the frontrunners for 2028 president?

Early 2028 polling shows JD Vance as the Republican primary frontrunner with 54% favorable among Republican voters. Democrats are wide open, with Gavin Newsom (32%), Josh Shapiro (28%), and Pete Buttigieg (25%) among the most discussed. The 2026 midterms will significantly shape who emerges as the frontrunner.

Who can’t run for president in 2028?

Donald Trump is constitutionally ineligible for a third presidential term under the 22nd Amendment. Any candidate who served two full terms cannot run again. Biden is also ineligible due to the 22nd Amendment after his one term. The 2028 race will be the first since 2000 to feature no incumbent president or VP from the previous election cycle.

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Generic Ballot Democrats47.9% Republicans41.4% D+6.5 Trump Approval Approve39% Disapprove58% Senate D47 R53 House D213 R222 Generic Ballot Tracker Trump Approval Senate 2026 House 2026 Latest Analysis