Youth Voter Turnout 2026: Gen Z in the Midterms
Young voters — particularly Gen Z (born 1997-2012) — turned out in unusually high numbers in 2020 and 2022, significantly benefiting Democrats. The 2024 election saw young voter margins shift toward Republicans more than other age groups. What happens to youth turnout in 2026 will be a major factor in competitive races.
Youth Voter Data: 2020-2024
| Election | Youth Turnout (18-29) | D Margin | National Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 Presidential | 52% | D+24 | Biden +4.5 |
| 2022 Midterm | 27% | D+28 | D+2 generic |
| 2024 Presidential | 49% | D+11 | Trump +1.5 |
Youth voter Democratic margins declined 13 points from 2022 to 2024, driven by economic concerns, campus free speech issues, and Gaza. Whether this drift continues or reverses in 2026 is uncertain.
Youth Voter Issues 2026
| Issue | % Youth Voters Prioritize | Partisan Lean |
|---|---|---|
| Climate change | 52% | Strong D |
| Student debt | 48% | D |
| Abortion rights | 44% | D |
| Cost of living / housing | 62% | Neither |
| Gaza / foreign policy | 28% | Mixed/D |
| Immigration | 22% | Mixed |
Frequently Asked Questions
Will young voters turn out in the 2026 midterms?
Youth voter turnout in midterms (typically 27% in 2022) is much lower than in presidential years (49-52%). The 2026 midterms will likely see youth turnout in the 25-30% range. Motivated issues — particularly abortion rights, student debt, and climate — can increase youth turnout above baseline. The national environment (anti-Trump energy) may boost Democratic youth turnout.
Do young voters favor Democrats or Republicans in 2026?
Young voters still favor Democrats by roughly 15-20 points in 2026 polling, down from 24-28 points in 2020-2022. The shift toward Republicans among young men has been significant while young women remain strongly Democratic. Youth economic anxiety (housing, student debt) is a wild card that Democrats must address.