Kansas Senate 2026
Safe Republican

Kansas Senate 2026

Roger Marshall (R) seeks second term — Class 2 seat; Trump won Kansas by 16.1 pts in 2024 (57.2%–41.0%)

Class 2 vs. Class 3 — Which Kansas Seat is Up in 2026?

Kansas has two senators: Roger Marshall (R, Class 2) — up for re-election in 2026 — and Jerry Moran (R, Class 3) — not up until 2028. The 2026 Kansas race is Marshall's Class 2 seat.

Key Findings
  • Roger Marshall (R, Class 2) seeks re-election — first elected 2020, defeating Democrat Barbara Bollier by ~6 pts. Race rated Safe Republican.
  • Jerry Moran (R, Class 3) is NOT up in 2026 — Moran was re-elected in 2022; his next election is 2028.
  • Trump won Kansas by 16.1 points in 2024 (57.2%–41.0%). Democrats have not won a Kansas Senate race since the 1930s.
  • Marshall is a physician (OB-GYN) and former U.S. Representative (KS-1, 2017-2021) aligned with the Freedom Caucus and the Trump wing of the party.

Key Facts — Kansas Senate 2026

StateKansas (KS)
IncumbentRoger Marshall (R) — Class 2, first elected 2020
Previous HolderPat Roberts (R) — retired 2020 after 4 terms
Marshall 2020 MarginR +11.4 pts vs. Barbara Bollier (D) (53.2%–41.8%)
Trump 2024 (KS)R +16.1 pts (57.2%–41.0%)
Race RatingSafe Republican
BackgroundPhysician; Rep. KS-1 (2017–2021); Freedom Caucus member
Other KS SenatorJerry Moran (R, Class 3) — re-elected 2022, next 2028
Election DateNovember 3, 2026

Historical Results — Kansas Senate (Class 2)

YearRepublicanDemocrat / ChallengerMargin
2026Roger Marshall (inc.)TBDR +~15 (proj.)
2020Roger MarshallBarbara Bollier (D)R +11.4 (open seat; 53.2%–41.8%)
2014Pat Roberts (inc.)Greg Orman (I)R +10.8 (three-way)
2008Pat Roberts (inc.)Jim Slattery (D)R +23.1
2002Pat Roberts (inc.)uncontestedR uncontested
1996Pat Roberts (open seat)Sally Thompson (D)R +23.0

2026 Senate Context & National Landscape

While Kansas has no competitive Senate race in 2026, the national Senate landscape is highly consequential. Democrats hold a narrow path to a Senate majority, requiring net gains in a map that favors Republicans. The Generic Ballot currently shows Democrats with a significant national advantage, but Senate maps often diverge from House dynamics due to state-specific factors.

Key competitive Senate races in 2026 include Georgia (Ossoff, D), Nevada (Rosen, D), Ohio (special election), Iowa (open seat), and Montana (Daines, R). The outcome of these races will determine Senate control through 2028. See the full Senate 2026 overview for all 33 Class 2 seats and current ratings.

National factors shaping all 2026 races include Trump's approval rating (currently at 38.1% approve, 59.2% disapprove), the economic outlook following Liberation Day tariffs, and immigration enforcement as a mobilizing issue for both base voters. The independent and swing voter bloc will be decisive in competitive states, while safe states like Kansas are largely insulated from national wave dynamics.

Kansas Senate - No 2026 Race
Kansas has no Senate election in 2026 | USPollingData

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is running for Senate in Kansas in 2026?

Roger Marshall (R, Class 2) is seeking re-election — his first re-election after winning the open seat in 2020. Jerry Moran holds Kansas's other (Class 3) seat and is not up until 2028.

Is Jerry Moran up for re-election in Kansas in 2026?

No. Moran holds the Class 3 seat and was re-elected in 2022. His next election is 2028. The 2026 Kansas race is Roger Marshall's Class 2 seat, formerly held by Pat Roberts (retired 2020).

Can Democrats win the Kansas Senate seat in 2026?

Kansas is rated Safe Republican. Trump won by 16.1 pts in 2024. Democrats have not won a Kansas Senate race in decades. While Marshall's 2020 margin of +11.4 was somewhat below the presidential baseline, the structural lean and current national environment make a Democratic win extremely unlikely.

Related Analysis
All Senate 2026 Races — 33 Class 2 Seats + 2 Special Elections → Trump Approval Rating — 38.1% Approve, 59.2% Disapprove → Generic Ballot Tracker — Democrats +6.0 as of May 2026 → Economy & Tariffs: The Defining Issue of the 2026 Midterms → Swing States 2026 — Where the Senate Is Being Won and Lost → Iowa Senate 2026 — Open Seat (Ernst Retires), Toss-Up → Georgia Senate 2026 — Ossoff vs. Collins/Dooley (Toss-Up) →
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Generic Ballot Democrats48.1% Republicans41.1% D+7 Trump Approval Approve39% Disapprove58% Senate D47 R53 House D213 R222 Generic Ballot Tracker Trump Approval Senate 2026 House 2026 Latest Analysis