Alabama 2026 Election Outlook & Forecast
Competitive ratings, key races, and political forecast for Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections.
Safe R
2026 State Rating
+27
Trump 2024 Margin
Immigration and border security dominate; economy secondary
Key Issue
Alabama
State
2026 Election Overview
Alabama is one of the safest Republican states in the nation. The 2026 election will feature an open governor race as term-limited Kay Ivey cannot run again. The Republican primary will be competitive. Democrats have little statewide reach.
Key Races
| Race | Status |
|---|---|
| State Rating | Safe R |
| Trump 2024 Margin | +27 |
| U.S. Senate | Richard Shelby seat held by Katie Britt (R) — not up |
| Governor | Not up until 2026 — Kay Ivey term limit creates open race (R primary battle) |
| U.S. House Seats | 6R, 1D — no competitive races |
| Key Issue | Immigration and border security dominate; economy secondary |
Forecast
Republicans will hold all statewide offices and congressional seats. The governor primary is the only competitive race.