Arkansas 2026 Election Outlook & Forecast
Competitive ratings, key races, and political forecast for Arkansas in the 2026 midterm elections.
Safe R
2026 State Rating
+28
Trump 2024 Margin
Border security, economy
Key Issue
Arkansas
State
2026 Election Overview
Arkansas is firmly in the Republican column. Governor Huckabee Sanders faces no real Democratic challenge. Senator Tom Cotton is up for reelection and will easily win. Arkansas has no competitive congressional districts.
Key Races
| Race | Status |
|---|---|
| State Rating | Safe R |
| Trump 2024 Margin | +28 |
| U.S. Senate | Tom Cotton (R) up — favored to win easily |
| Governor | Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) facing easy reelection |
| U.S. House Seats | 4R — no competitive races |
| Key Issue | Border security, economy |
Forecast
Republicans hold everything. Cotton wins Senate comfortably. Huckabee Sanders wins reelection easily.