Florida Economic Outlook 2026
GDP growth, unemployment, tariff impacts, and economic forecast for Florida heading into the 2026 elections.
3.2%
GDP Growth Rate
3.3%
Unemployment Rate
Surplus
State Budget Outlook
Growing
Job Growth Forecast
2026 Economic Overview
Florida’s economy is strong but insurance costs are becoming a major political issue. DeSantis and Republicans credit deregulation; Democrats blame climate inaction.
Key Economic Indicators
| Indicator | Value / Status |
|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate | 3.2% |
| Unemployment Rate | 3.3% |
| Top Economic Sector | Tourism, Real Estate, Healthcare |
| State Budget Outlook | Surplus |
| Job Growth Forecast | Growing |
| Tariff Impact | Low — service economy less exposed to goods tariffs |
| Key Economic Risk | Hurricane risk; insurance crisis constraining real estate; sea level rise |