Georgia 2026 Election Outlook & Forecast
Competitive ratings, key races, and political forecast for Georgia in the 2026 midterm elections.
Toss-Up
2026 State Rating
+1.9
Trump 2024 Margin
Economy, immigration, abortion
Key Issue
Georgia
State
2026 Election Overview
Georgia is the epicenter of 2026 Senate competition. Jon Ossoff is one of the most targeted Democratic senators. The open governor race adds another statewide battle. Georgia’s growing suburban Atlanta electorate and strong Black voter turnout create genuine competition.
Key Races
| Race | Status |
|---|---|
| State Rating | Toss-Up |
| Trump 2024 Margin | +1.9 |
| U.S. Senate | Jon Ossoff (D) up in 2026 — top target for Republicans |
| Governor | Brian Kemp term-limited — open race |
| U.S. House Seats | 9R, 5D — GA-7 competitive |
| Key Issue | Economy, immigration, abortion |
Forecast
Senate race is the #1 national battleground. Ossoff vs. a strong Republican challenger (possibly Gov. Kemp in a rematch) in a true toss-up. Governor race is slightly Republican-favored open seat.