Kansas 2026 Election Outlook & Forecast
Competitive ratings, key races, and political forecast for Kansas in the 2026 midterm elections.
Safe R
2026 State Rating
+20
Trump 2024 Margin
Abortion (post-2022 vote), agriculture tariffs
Key Issue
Kansas
State
2026 Election Overview
Kansas surprised the nation in 2022 with a strong abortion rights vote. The governor race will be competitive — Kansas has elected Democratic governors. KS-3 (Kansas City suburbs) is competitive. The interaction of abortion rights and Republican dominance makes Kansas fascinating politically.
Key Races
| Race | Status |
|---|---|
| State Rating | Safe R |
| Trump 2024 Margin | +20 |
| U.S. Senate | Jerry Moran (R) — not up in 2026 |
| Governor | Jeff Colyer primary against others — 2026 open race |
| U.S. House Seats | 3R, 1D — KS-3 (Kansas City suburbs) competitive |
| Key Issue | Abortion (post-2022 vote), agriculture tariffs |
Forecast
Governor race is lean-R but competitive. KS-3 House seat is competitive. Kansas is more politically interesting than its presidential results suggest.