Likely Republican

Kansas Political History & Voting Patterns

Reliably R presidential; now sees split-ticket Gov D wins. A complete guide to how Kansas has voted in presidential elections, which coalitions have driven results, and how the state has shifted over time.

R+14
Current Lean
6
Electoral Votes
2.9M
Population

Historical Overview

Kansas is Thomas Frank’s ’What is the Matter with Kansas?’ state — a place where rural working-class voters have voted against their economic interests for generations, prioritizing cultural conservatism. The Republican establishment has dominated since FDR-era Democrats lost their coalition. Bob Dole represented Kansas in the Senate for 27 years. The surprise came in 2022 when Kansas voters rejected a constitutional abortion amendment by 59-41, demonstrating that even Kansas voters draw lines on social conservatism. Johnson County (Kansas City suburbs) has trended sharply Democratic as college-educated suburbanites moved left.

Key Elections & Turning Points

Year Significance
1936FDR carried KS — only time a D won since 1912
1994Republicans swept everything; birth of the 'What is the Matter with Kansas' politics
2016Trump +21
2019Laura Kelly won governorship (D)
2022Abortion amendment rejected 59-41
2024Kelly lost re-election to Republican

Geographic Voting Patterns

Democratic Strongholds

Johnson County (Kansas City suburb, trending D), Wyandotte County, Douglas County (Lawrence/KU)

Republican Strongholds

Western Kansas oil and wheat country, Sedgwick County (Wichita — R but competitive)

Realignment Driver

Primary factor: Cultural conservatism, farm economy Republican loyalty, suburban education gap emerging

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Generic Ballot Democrats48.1% Republicans41.1% D+7 Trump Approval Approve39% Disapprove58% Senate D47 R53 House D213 R222 Generic Ballot Tracker Trump Approval Senate 2026 House 2026 Latest Analysis