Massachusetts 2026 Election Outlook & Forecast

Competitive ratings, key races, and political forecast for Massachusetts in the 2026 midterm elections.

Safe D
2026 State Rating
-33
Trump 2024 Margin
NIH funding cuts to biotech, housing costs, T (transit)
Key Issue
Massachusetts
State

2026 Election Overview

Massachusetts is safely Democratic. The main political action is in the Democratic primary space, not general elections. NIH and federal research funding cuts are the top economic-political concern.

Key Races

RaceStatus
State RatingSafe D
Trump 2024 Margin-33
U.S. SenateEd Markey (D) not up; Elizabeth Warren not up in 2026
GovernorMaura Healey (D) — not up in 2026
U.S. House Seats8D, 1R — MA-7 (Jake Auchincloss) might be competitive in primary
Key IssueNIH funding cuts to biotech, housing costs, T (transit)

Forecast

No general election competition. Democratic primaries are the only action.

Related Massachusetts Pages

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Generic Ballot Democrats48.1% Republicans41.1% D+7 Trump Approval Approve39% Disapprove58% Senate D47 R53 House D213 R222 Generic Ballot Tracker Trump Approval Senate 2026 House 2026 Latest Analysis