Mississippi 2026 Election Outlook & Forecast
Competitive ratings, key races, and political forecast for Mississippi in the 2026 midterm elections.
Safe R
2026 State Rating
+16
Trump 2024 Margin
Economy, poverty, federal transfer risk
Key Issue
Mississippi
State
2026 Election Overview
Mississippi is safely Republican for Senate and most House races. The majority-Black MS-2 district is safely Democratic. No competitive races expected.
Key Races
| Race | Status |
|---|---|
| State Rating | Safe R |
| Trump 2024 Margin | +16 |
| U.S. Senate | Roger Wicker (R) — up in 2026, easy reelection |
| Governor | Tate Reeves won in 2023 — not up in 2026 |
| U.S. House Seats | 3R, 1D — MS-2 (majority Black district, D safe) |
| Key Issue | Economy, poverty, federal transfer risk |
Forecast
Wicker wins Senate easily. No competitive House races.