Missouri Economic Outlook 2026
GDP growth, unemployment, tariff impacts, and economic forecast for Missouri heading into the 2026 elections.
2.2%
GDP Growth Rate
3.4%
Unemployment Rate
Balanced
State Budget Outlook
Stable
Job Growth Forecast
2026 Economic Overview
Missouri agriculture faces tariff retaliation dynamics similar to Iowa. Boeing’s defense manufacturing has different political dynamics. Democrats target suburban Kansas City and St. Louis voters on economic issues.
Key Economic Indicators
| Indicator | Value / Status |
|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate | 2.2% |
| Unemployment Rate | 3.4% |
| Top Economic Sector | Agriculture, Defense, Healthcare |
| State Budget Outlook | Balanced |
| Job Growth Forecast | Stable |
| Tariff Impact | High — major ag exporter; Boeing (defense) has separate dynamics |
| Key Economic Risk | Flooding and drought affecting ag; Boeing defense contracts variable |