Nebraska 2026 Election Outlook & Forecast
Competitive ratings, key races, and political forecast for Nebraska in the 2026 midterm elections.
Safe R
2026 State Rating
+20
Trump 2024 Margin
Agriculture tariffs (huge exposure), electoral vote split issue
Key Issue
Nebraska
State
2026 Election Overview
Nebraska’s ongoing debate over splitting its electoral vote by congressional district is the main political story. The governor reelection is not competitive. NE-2 (Omaha) is the most competitive district in the state.
Key Races
| Race | Status |
|---|---|
| State Rating | Safe R |
| Trump 2024 Margin | +20 |
| U.S. Senate | Deb Fischer (R) won in 2024 — not up in 2026 |
| Governor | Jim Pillen (R) — up in 2026 for reelection |
| U.S. House Seats | 3R — NE-2 (Omaha) is most competitive in state |
| Key Issue | Agriculture tariffs (huge exposure), electoral vote split issue |
Forecast
Pillen wins reelection. Republicans hold all seats. NE-2 will be closer than other Nebraska races.