New Jersey 2026 Election Outlook & Forecast
Competitive ratings, key races, and political forecast for New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections.
Lean D
2026 State Rating
-6
Trump 2024 Margin
Economy, property taxes, pharma sector
Key Issue
New Jersey
State
2026 Election Overview
New Jersey holds its governor election in 2025. The 2026 federal elections feature multiple competitive suburban House seats where Trump-era Republican gains in South and Central Jersey are contested.
Key Races
| Race | Status |
|---|---|
| State Rating | Lean D |
| Trump 2024 Margin | -6 |
| U.S. Senate | Cory Booker (D) — not up in 2026; Andy Kim won in 2024 |
| Governor | Phil Murphy term-limited — governor race in Nov 2025 (not 2026) |
| U.S. House Seats | 7D, 5R — NJ-7, NJ-3, NJ-5 competitive |
| Key Issue | Economy, property taxes, pharma sector |
Forecast
Multiple competitive House races in 2026 (NJ-7 and others). Democrats start with advantage but must defend.