Governor — North Carolina

No 2026 Governor Race — Stein Elected in 2024

Josh Stein (D) won the 2024 governor race, succeeding term-limited Roy Cooper. His 4-year term runs through January 2029. North Carolina governor races occur every 4 years.

R+3
State Partisan Lean
2028
Next Governor Race
North Carolina governor
Current Status
Current GovernorJosh Stein (D)
2026 RaceNo 2026 race
Next Election2028
State Presidential LeanR+3

North Carolina Governor: Recent Election History

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSignificance
2016Roy Cooper 49.0%Pat McCrory (inc.) 48.8%D+0.2Cooper flipped the governorship by just 10,000 votes; McCrory's HB2 "bathroom bill" cost him moderate support
2020Roy Cooper (inc.) 51.5%Dan Forest 47.0%D+4.5Cooper re-elected easily; NC voted R in presidential race same day — split-ticket governor is the pattern here
2024Josh Stein 59.5%Mark Robinson 39.4%D+20.1Robinson, the incumbent Lt. Gov, imploded after reports of explicit posts on pornography site; Stein won by historically large margin in a R+3 state
2024 Presidential (same day)Harris 47.7%Trump 51.0%R+3.3NC still voted R for president even as it elected D governor by 20 pts — extreme split-ticket pattern

Context & Analysis

Josh Stein defeated Mark Robinson (R) in November 2024 by approximately 14 points. Robinson, the sitting Lt. Governor, imploded after reports surfaced about posts he had made on a pornography website. Stein entered as a former state attorney general. North Carolina allows governors to serve two consecutive terms; Stein can run for re-election in 2028. The state's presidential lean remains R+3 despite electing a Democratic governor — split-ticket voting driven by Robinson's disqualifying controversy. The 2028 governor race will be a genuine toss-up if Stein runs for re-election or if it becomes an open seat.

State context: North Carolina voted 48% Biden / 50% Trump in 2020. US Senators: Thom Tillis (R). Current Governor: Josh Stein (D).

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Generic Ballot Democrats48.1% Republicans41.1% D+7 Trump Approval Approve39% Disapprove58% Senate D47 R53 House D213 R222 Generic Ballot Tracker Trump Approval Senate 2026 House 2026 Latest Analysis