North Dakota 2026 Election Outlook & Forecast
Competitive ratings, key races, and political forecast for North Dakota in the 2026 midterm elections.
Safe R
2026 State Rating
+33
Trump 2024 Margin
Agriculture tariffs (wheat), energy policy
Key Issue
North Dakota
State
2026 Election Overview
North Dakota is safely Republican. Cramer’s reelection is not contested. No competitive races expected.
Key Races
| Race | Status |
|---|---|
| State Rating | Safe R |
| Trump 2024 Margin | +33 |
| U.S. Senate | John Hoeven (R) — not up; Kevin Cramer up in 2026, safe |
| Governor | Kelly Armstrong (R) just won in 2024 — not up |
| U.S. House Seats | 2R — not competitive |
| Key Issue | Agriculture tariffs (wheat), energy policy |
Forecast
Republicans hold everything easily. Agricultural tariff retaliation is the main political concern.