Safe Republican — At-Large Seat

North Dakota House Races 2026: At-Large District

Julie Olson (R) · Replaced Kelly Armstrong (now Governor) · R+33 state · Bakken oil · Wheat exports

1
Total House seat
1R / 0D
Current delegation
Safe R
Race rating
R+33
State presidential lean
North Dakota House race 2026

North Dakota House 2026 — Key Numbers

1
Total House seat
At-large (full state)
Safe R
Race rating
Julie Olson (R)
R+33
Presidential lean 2024
Among deepest red states
Bakken
Major oil formation
Top 5 US oil-producing state

North Dakota House Delegation — Issues and Roles

Overview

A New Member in a Safe Seat

Julie Olson won the at-large seat in 2024 after Kelly Armstrong stepped down to run successfully for Governor. Olson is building her congressional profile as a freshman with strong backing from North Dakota’s agricultural and energy industries. The seat is structurally safe: North Dakota has not sent a Democrat to the US House since the 1990s and the state’s political evolution has moved continuously rightward. Olson will seek to build seniority and committee assignments that benefit the state’s agricultural and energy priorities.

Key Issues

Oil, Wheat, and Federal Regulations

The Bakken Shale formation has made North Dakota one of the top oil-producing states in the country. Federal pipeline and drilling regulations are therefore directly economically significant to thousands of state residents. North Dakota is also a major wheat and soybean exporter, making agricultural trade policy — particularly with China and the EU — critically important. The state also has significant renewable energy potential, particularly wind, but that has created political tension with the fossil fuel establishment that dominates state politics. Water rights from the Missouri River are another perennial legislative priority.

2026 Outlook

Uncompetitive General, Primary Watch

The only electoral risk for the North Dakota House majority is a Republican primary challenge. Given Olson’s first-term status, she would be vulnerable to a primary challenger who argued she was insufficiently conservative or effective. However, North Dakota Republican primaries tend to elevate conventional business-friendly conservatives rather than Freedom Caucus insurgents, and Olson’s profile fits that mold. The general election against any Democrat is not competitive. No ratings service considers ND-AL anything other than Safe Republican.

North Dakota House Delegation 2026

DistrictMemberPartySinceNotes
At-Large Julie Olson R 2025 Replaced Kelly Armstrong (became Governor); Safe R
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Generic Ballot Democrats48.1% Republicans41.1% D+7 Trump Approval Approve39% Disapprove58% Senate D47 R53 House D213 R222 Generic Ballot Tracker Trump Approval Senate 2026 House 2026 Latest Analysis