Solid Republican

South Dakota Political History & Voting Patterns

Reliably R since 1964; Tom Daschle exception in Senate. A complete guide to how South Dakota has voted in presidential elections, which coalitions have driven results, and how the state has shifted over time.

R+26
Current Lean
3
Electoral Votes
909K
Population

Historical Overview

South Dakota is defined by its Plains agricultural economy, Sioux tribe political power (Native Americans 9% of population), and Mount Rushmore national identity. Tom Daschle’s defeat in 2004 — the only Senate Majority Leader to lose re-election since 1952 — symbolized the state’s rightward completion. Kristi Noem became a national figure through COVID-19 controversy (never issued lockdowns) and her bizarre book story about shooting her dog. John Thune, who defeated Daschle, became Senate Majority Leader in 2025.

Key Elections & Turning Points

Year Significance
1964LBJ won — last D presidential win
2004Tom Daschle lost Senate majority leader seat to John Thune
2018Kristi Noem won governor
2020Trump +26
2024Trump +29; Thune became Senate Majority Leader

Geographic Voting Patterns

Democratic Strongholds

Minnehaha County (Sioux Falls, competitive), Shannon/Oglala Lakota County (Pine Ridge, D+70+)

Republican Strongholds

All other counties; Pennington County (Rapid City), Brown County (Aberdeen)

Realignment Driver

Primary factor: Agricultural conservatism, rural cultural alignment, Plains states anti-federal tradition

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Generic Ballot Democrats48.1% Republicans41.1% D+7 Trump Approval Approve39% Disapprove58% Senate D47 R53 House D213 R222 Generic Ballot Tracker Trump Approval Senate 2026 House 2026 Latest Analysis