Utah 2026 Election Outlook & Forecast
Competitive ratings, key races, and political forecast for Utah in the 2026 midterm elections.
Safe R
2026 State Rating
+13
Trump 2024 Margin
Water crisis (Great Salt Lake), housing, clean energy vs fossil fuels
Key Issue
Utah
State
2026 Election Overview
Utah is safely Republican but has a distinct political culture. Romney Republicans and anti-Trump sentiment exist. Governor Cox faces reelection and is moderately popular. The Great Salt Lake water crisis is a genuine bipartisan policy emergency.
Key Races
| Race | Status |
|---|---|
| State Rating | Safe R |
| Trump 2024 Margin | +13 |
| U.S. Senate | Mike Lee (R) — not up; John Curtis won in 2024 |
| Governor | Spencer Cox (R) — up for reelection |
| U.S. House Seats | 3R, 1D (UT-2 Salt Lake competitive in normal times) — not in 2026 |
| Key Issue | Water crisis (Great Salt Lake), housing, clean energy vs fossil fuels |
Forecast
Cox wins reelection. Republicans hold everything. Water policy is the sleeper issue of Utah politics.