Vermont Economic Outlook 2026

GDP growth, unemployment, tariff impacts, and economic forecast for Vermont heading into the 2026 elections.

2.0%
GDP Growth Rate
2.9%
Unemployment Rate
Balanced
State Budget Outlook
Stable
Job Growth Forecast

2026 Economic Overview

Vermont faces economic challenges from climate-related flooding, rural depopulation, and high healthcare costs. The state progressive politics focus on these structural economic issues.

Key Economic Indicators

IndicatorValue / Status
GDP Growth Rate2.0%
Unemployment Rate2.9%
Top Economic SectorTourism, Healthcare, Agriculture
State Budget OutlookBalanced
Job Growth ForecastStable
Tariff ImpactLow — small manufacturing sector; maple syrup exports minor
Key Economic RiskFlooding from climate change; rural depopulation; healthcare cost burden

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