Solid Democratic

Vermont Political History & Voting Patterns

Most Republican NE state through 1984; shifted to most D state. A complete guide to how Vermont has voted in presidential elections, which coalitions have driven results, and how the state has shifted over time.

D+35
Current Lean
3
Electoral Votes
648K
Population

Historical Overview

Vermont’s political transformation is uniquely American. The most Republican state in New England for most of the 20th century (Yankee Republican), it has become one of the most reliably Democratic states in the nation. The transformation began with the ’Chittenden County revolution’ — Burlington’s growth as a countercultural hub attracting progressives from New York and Massachusetts. Bernie Sanders won Burlington’s mayoral race in 1981 and House seat in 1990 as an independent socialist, becoming the longest-serving independent in congressional history. Phil Scott, the moderate Republican governor, has won by 30+ points in a Biden+35 state — because Vermont voters distinguish between their very progressive federal preferences and pragmatic local governance.

Key Elections & Turning Points

Year Significance
1988Bush won VT
1990Bernie Sanders won House as Independent
1996Clinton won VT — first D presidential win
2000VT became first state to legalize civil unions
2016Bernie Sanders ran for president
2022Becca Balint won Congress — first woman and first LGBT member from VT

Geographic Voting Patterns

Democratic Strongholds

Chittenden County (Burlington, D+40+), Windham County (Brattleboro, D+30+)

Republican Strongholds

Orange County, Orleans County (rural north, more R), Caledonia County

Realignment Driver

Primary factor: Countercultural migration from NYC/MA, progressive values dominance, Bernie Sanders movement

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Generic Ballot Democrats48.1% Republicans41.1% D+7 Trump Approval Approve39% Disapprove58% Senate D47 R53 House D213 R222 Generic Ballot Tracker Trump Approval Senate 2026 House 2026 Latest Analysis