Washington 2026 Election Outlook & Forecast
Competitive ratings, key races, and political forecast for Washington in the 2026 midterm elections.
Lean D
2026 State Rating
-17
Trump 2024 Margin
Boeing recovery, trade policy (agriculture, tech), housing
Key Issue
Washington
State
2026 Election Overview
Washington state has competitive House districts on the eastern fringe of the Seattle area and in southwestern WA. No Senate seat is up. The state leans Democratic comfortably statewide.
Key Races
| Race | Status |
|---|---|
| State Rating | Lean D |
| Trump 2024 Margin | -17 |
| U.S. Senate | Maria Cantwell (D) — not up; Patty Murray not up in 2026 |
| Governor | Bob Ferguson (D) just won in 2024 — not up |
| U.S. House Seats | 7D, 3R — WA-3, WA-8 competitive |
| Key Issue | Boeing recovery, trade policy (agriculture, tech), housing |
Forecast
WA-3 and WA-8 are competitive House races. Democrats hold statewide easily.