Safe Democratic — Both Seats

Hawaii House Races 2026: Congressional Districts

Ed Case (HI-1) · Jill Tokuda (HI-2) · D+40 state · Military, tourism, Native Hawaiian rights

2
Total House seats
2D / 0R
Current delegation
0
Competitive districts
D+40
State presidential lean
Hawaii House races 2026

Hawaii House 2026 — Key Numbers

2
Total House seats
Both Safe D
2D
Democratic seats
Case + Tokuda
0R
Republican seats
No R since 1994
D+40
Presidential lean
Among most D states

Hawaii House Delegation — Issues and Roles

Overview

Safe Democratic Delegation

Hawaii has been one of the most reliably Democratic states since statehood in 1959. Both House seats are safe and the delegation uses its position to advocate for issues specific to a remote, multi-ethnic Pacific island state. Ed Case in HI-1 is considered a centrist Democrat who occasionally breaks with the progressive wing of the party. Jill Tokuda in HI-2 represents the outer islands including Maui, which experienced catastrophic wildfires in 2023 that devastated Lahaina and have shaped her legislative priorities around disaster relief, wildfire prevention, and climate resilience.

Key Issues

Military, Tourism, and Native Rights

Military spending is the first economic pillar: Hawaii hosts Pearl Harbor Naval Station, Joint Base Pearl Harbor-Hickam, and INDOPACOM headquarters. Defense contracts and military salaries are critical to the state economy. Tourism is the second pillar and a source of political tension — overtourism has driven up housing costs and strained infrastructure, particularly in resort areas. Native Hawaiian rights, including federal recognition comparable to American Indian tribal status, land rights related to the overthrow of the Hawaiian monarchy, and access to traditional lands, are core issues for the delegation and the state’s large Native Hawaiian population.

2026 Outlook

No Electoral Competition Expected

Republicans have essentially no path to winning either Hawaii House majority in 2026. The state’s presidential lean of D+40, combined with Hawaii’s demographics and political culture, makes both seats safe for the Democratic incumbents. The more interesting political dynamics within Hawaii in 2026 will occur in state legislative and local races, not at the federal congressional level. Case and Tokuda will face primary competition at most, with no credible general election threat.

Hawaii Full House Delegation 2026

DistrictMemberPartySinceNotes
HI-1 Ed Case D 2018 Honolulu; centrist Democrat; Safe D
HI-2 Jill Tokuda D 2023 Outer islands incl. Maui; Lahaina wildfire recovery; Safe D
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Generic Ballot Democrats48.1% Republicans41.1% D+7 Trump Approval Approve39% Disapprove58% Senate D47 R53 House D213 R222 Generic Ballot Tracker Trump Approval Senate 2026 House 2026 Latest Analysis