3 Safe R — KS-3 Competitive (D holds)

Kansas House Races 2026: Congressional Districts

Sharice Davids (D) defending KS-3 · Johnson County suburbs · 3 safe R · First Native American woman in Congress

4
Total House seats
3R / 1D
Current delegation
1
Competitive district
R+20
State presidential lean
Kansas House races 2026

Kansas House 2026 — Key Numbers

4
Total House seats
3R + 1D
3R
Safe Republican seats
KS-1, KS-2, KS-4
1D
Democratic seat
KS-3 Davids (Lean D)
1
Competitive districts
KS-3 rated Lean D

Competitive Districts — KS-3 Race Profile

DistrictIncumbentParty2024 MarginCook 2026Lean
KS-3 Sharice Davids D +5.0 pts Lean D Lean D

Kansas House 2026 — Analysis

Overview

The Democratic Island in Red Kansas

KS-3 is an anomaly in one of the country’s most Republican states. Johnson County, which anchors the district, is the wealthiest county in Kansas and home to large numbers of college-educated professionals who work in the Kansas City metropolitan area. This demographic group — particularly women — has shifted significantly toward Democrats since 2016. Davids has built a constituency based on her personal story as a Native American attorney and mixed martial arts fighter, her moderate positioning, and her focus on practical economic issues that resonate in a business-oriented suburban community.

Key Races

Republican Path to Flipping KS-3

Republicans have tried and failed to defeat Davids in four consecutive elections, but the district’s underlying partisanship means she can never fully relax. A Republican who can credibly appeal to business-minded suburban voters without alienating them on social issues could be competitive. The NRCC lists KS-3 as a target. Davids’ margins have been comfortable enough that she is not considered maximally vulnerable, but a strong national Republican environment in 2026 would tighten the race significantly.

Issues Driving Races

Economy, Healthcare, and Abortion Rights

Kansas voters passed a state constitutional amendment protecting abortion polling in 2022 by a wide margin, even as Republicans dominated state legislative races. This result confirmed that abortion is a cross-cutting issue in Kansas that benefits Democrats even in red territory. In KS-3, healthcare affordability and prescription drug prices are consistently top voter concerns. Davids’ focus on bipartisan infrastructure projects and constituent services reinforces her moderate image in a district where voters want practical results over partisan combat.

Kansas Full House Delegation 2026

DistrictMemberPartySinceNotes
KS-1 Tracey Mann R 2021 Western KS “Big First”; agriculture; Safe R
KS-2 Jake LaTurner R 2021 Eastern KS excl. KC; Safe R
KS-3 Sharice Davids D 2019 KC suburbs; first Native American woman; Lean D
KS-4 Ron Estes R 2017 Wichita area; Safe R
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Generic Ballot Democrats48.1% Republicans41.1% D+7 Trump Approval Approve39% Disapprove58% Senate D47 R53 House D213 R222 Generic Ballot Tracker Trump Approval Senate 2026 House 2026 Latest Analysis