Missouri 2026 Election Outlook & Forecast
Competitive ratings, key races, and political forecast for Missouri in the 2026 midterm elections.
Safe R
2026 State Rating
+18
Trump 2024 Margin
Agriculture tariffs, crime (St. Louis/KC), economy
Key Issue
Missouri
State
2026 Election Overview
Missouri is safely Republican. Josh Hawley faces reelection but is well-positioned in a Republican state. No competitive House races in the normal sense.
Key Races
| Race | Status |
|---|---|
| State Rating | Safe R |
| Trump 2024 Margin | +18 |
| U.S. Senate | Josh Hawley (R) — up in 2026, faces reelection |
| Governor | Mike Kehoe (R) just won in 2024 — not up in 2026 |
| U.S. House Seats | 6R, 2D — no competitive races |
| Key Issue | Agriculture tariffs, crime (St. Louis/KC), economy |
Forecast
Hawley wins Senate reelection. Republicans hold everything.