Likely Democratic

New Jersey Electoral College Guide

New Jersey casts 14 electoral votes in presidential elections. New Jersey's 14 EV are reliably Democratic but the margin narrowed significantly in 2024. Not currently targeted by Republicans.

14
Electoral Votes
D+16
2024 Result
Safe
Competitiveness
2.6%
Share of 538 Total

Role in the Electoral College

New Jersey's 14 EV are reliably Democratic but the margin narrowed significantly in 2024. Not currently targeted by Republicans.

Electoral Vote History

Last Republican win was 1988. Obama won by 17 points in 2008; Harris won by 11 points in 2024.

Electoral College Basics

The United States uses an Electoral College system to elect the president. Each state receives electoral votes equal to its total congressional representation: number of House seats + 2 (senators). New Jersey has 12 House seats + 2 senators = 14 electoral votes.

A candidate needs 270 out of 538 electoral votes to win the presidency. New Jersey’s 14 electoral votes represent 2.6% of the total needed.

Most states use a winner-take-all system — the popular vote winner receives all electoral votes. The exception is Maine and Nebraska, which allocate electoral votes by congressional district. New Jersey uses the winner-take-all system.

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Generic Ballot Democrats48.1% Republicans41.1% D+7 Trump Approval Approve39% Disapprove58% Senate D47 R53 House D213 R222 Generic Ballot Tracker Trump Approval Senate 2026 House 2026 Latest Analysis