Export Economy & Tariff Exposure — 2026 Key Issue

South Carolina Economy 2026: BMW, Aerospace, and Tourism

BMW Spartanburg exports 2/3 of its vehicles and faces EU retaliation risk. Boeing North Charleston assembles 787s as China delivery concerns mount. Port of Charleston handles Southeast shipping. Myrtle Beach and Hilton Head attract millions of visitors.

#1
Largest BMW plant globally
400K+
BMW vehicles/year
~7K
Boeing Charleston jobs
Top 10
US East Coast port
South Carolina economy 2026

South Carolina Economic Snapshot 2026

Indicator South Carolina National Status
Unemployment Rate ~3.9% 4.2% below avg
BMW Spartanburg Employees ~11,000 EU tariff exposure
BMW Spartanburg Vehicles/Year 400,000+ largest BMW globally
BMW Export Share ~2/3 retaliation risk
Boeing North Charleston Jobs ~7,000 China delivery risk
Port of Charleston Volume top 10 EC regional hub
Tourism Revenue ~$24B growing
Myrtle Beach Visitors/Year 20M+ major destination
Volvo Cars Berkeley County active tariff exposure
Charlotte Metro Spillover York Co. suburban growth

Sources: BLS, SC Department of Commerce, BMW Manufacturing, SC Ports Authority. Data as of early 2026.

Four Sectors Defining South Carolina's Trade Exposure

BMW Spartanburg

World's Largest BMW Plant, Maximum Tariff Exposure

BMW's Spartanburg plant produces the X3, X4, X5, X6, X7, and XM models and ships approximately two-thirds of its production to international markets — primarily Europe, China, and Asia-Pacific. This export orientation makes Spartanburg one of the largest single-plant vehicle exporters in the United States, a point BMW has repeatedly made in lobbying against auto tariffs.

When the US imposes auto tariffs, retaliating markets can target Spartanburg-produced BMW vehicles arriving in Europe with higher duties. The EU has specifically studied BMW and other foreign-owned US plants as potential retaliation targets precisely because they are politically inconvenient for Republican senators who represent these communities.

BMW employs approximately 11,000 people directly and anchors a supply chain of 30+ supplier plants employing tens of thousands more in the Upstate South Carolina region. The plant has invested over $13 billion in Spartanburg since 1992 and has been the single largest driver of Upstate economy development for three decades.

Boeing Aerospace

787 Dreamliner Assembly: China Customer Risk

Boeing's North Charleston facility, which opened in 2011, performs major assembly and delivery of the 787 Dreamliner. The plant employs approximately 7,000 workers and has been integral to Boeing's commercial aircraft production strategy, offering non-union production alongside the Everett, Washington plant.

China is one of the largest single-country customers for Boeing commercial aircraft, with Chinese carriers operating or ordering hundreds of 787s and 737s. US-China trade and political tensions have directly affected Boeing deliveries: China delayed and then partially resumed aircraft deliveries in response to trade and diplomatic friction. Any further deterioration in US-China relations under new tariff regimes creates pipeline risk for Charleston assembly backlog.

Volvo Cars also operates a US manufacturing plant in Berkeley County, South Carolina — the company's only US production facility — adding another European auto brand with tariff exposure to the state's manufacturing mix.

Tourism & Port

Myrtle Beach, Hilton Head, and the Port of Charleston

Tourism generates approximately $24 billion annually for South Carolina's economy. Myrtle Beach is the most visited beach destination in the United States by domestic travelers, drawing over 20 million visitors per year. Hilton Head Island attracts an affluent domestic and international visitor base with its resort economy. Both destinations are sensitive to consumer spending confidence, which is affected by recession fears and inflation driven by tariff-induced price increases.

The Port of Charleston is one of the deepest natural harbors on the East Coast and handles container traffic from manufacturing operations across the Southeast. BMW Spartanburg vehicle exports move through Charleston. Agricultural and industrial goods from inland states transit through the port.

International visitor tourism to Myrtle Beach and Hilton Head could be affected by US foreign policy tensions and retaliatory visa or travel friction, though the primary threat to South Carolina tourism is domestic — a consumer slowdown driven by tariff-related price increases on discretionary spending.

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