The Decision Sanders Has Not Made
Bernie Sanders, the independent senator from Vermont who caucuses with Senate Democrats, has not confirmed whether he will seek a fourth Senate term in 2026. His current term expires in January 2027. At 85 on Election Day, he would be the oldest sitting U.S. senator seeking re-election in modern history — a fact that has generated quiet concern even among his allies, particularly after his 2019 heart attack.
Sanders has shown no signs of slowing down legislatively. He remains the ranking member of the Senate Budget Committee (or minority ranking member, given Republican control), continues his prolific town hall circuit, and has emerged as one of the loudest voices against Trump's second-term agenda. His profile has arguably increased since the 2024 cycle, when he campaigned aggressively for Democratic nominees across swing states.
The 2028 Complication
The wildcard in Sanders's 2026 Senate decision is the 2028 presidential cycle. Several close associates have indicated that Sanders has not fully ruled out a third presidential run, positioning himself as the only figure with the national progressive infrastructure to challenge what may be an open Democratic primary if Vice President-era figures do not consolidate support. A 2028 presidential run and a 2026 Senate run are not mutually exclusive — senators run for president regularly — but the logistical and fundraising demands create tension.
Progressive activists have urged Sanders to run for Senate regardless of 2028 plans, arguing that his presence in the Senate as Ranking Member during Trump's second term is more consequential than any presidential campaign. His committee hearings on corporate greed, pharmaceutical pricing, and income inequality have generated millions of views on social media and represent the most effective progressive counter-messaging available to the Senate minority.
Vermont's Political Landscape
Vermont's political structure is unusual: it elected a Republican governor (Phil Scott) in 2024 while its federal delegation is entirely Democratic/Independent. Scott, a moderate Republican who has repeatedly broken with Trump, represents the specific brand of New England Republicanism that can win statewide but has no national viability. His brand does not translate to a competitive Senate race in Vermont's current environment.
Vermont remains Safe D/I. National fundraising boost for Democrats. Visibility for progressive agenda against Trump's second term.
Still Safe D. Open seat primary draws strong candidates. Peter Welch or Zuckerman would hold the seat easily against any Republican challenger.
Near-impossible. Vermont has not elected a Republican senator since the 1990s. No credible GOP candidate has emerged. Not a target for NRSC resources.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Bernie Sanders running for Senate in 2026?
He has not officially announced as of spring 2026. Sanders has signaled continued engagement but has not ruled out a 2028 presidential run, creating ambiguity. Vermont would remain Safe D/I regardless of his decision.
Who would replace Sanders if he retires?
Lt. Governor David Zuckerman, Rep. Peter Welch, and former Governor Peter Shumlin are frequently mentioned. Any credible Democrat would be heavily favored in a D+20 state.
Can a Republican win the Vermont Senate seat?
Extremely unlikely. Vermont is rated Safe D/I by all major forecasters. No credible Republican candidate has entered the race. Vermont has not elected a Republican senator in decades.
