Safe Republican — R+43, Most Republican State in America

Wyoming Senate 2026: Barrasso in the Most Republican State

Barrasso (R) since 2007 · Lummis (R) crypto advocate · WY is R+43 · Cheney lost primary by 37 pts (2022) · Cook: Safe R

R+43
Most Republican state in US
+43
Trump 2024 margin in WY
-37
Cheney primary loss 2022
Safe R
Cook Political Report
Wyoming Senate

Wyoming Senate — Key Numbers

2007
Barrasso in Senate since
R leadership policy chair
2021
Lummis in Senate since
Bitcoin & crypto advocate
Cheney
Lost 2022 primary by 37 pts
Anti-Jan 6 stance cost her seat
580K
State population
Least populous state

Wyoming Senate Historical Results

YearWinnerOpponentMarginNote
2026 Barrasso (R, inc.) No major D challenger Expected +40+ Safe R
2022 House Hageman (R) 66% Cheney (R, inc.) 29% +37 (primary) Cheney ousted, Jan 6 dissent punished
2020 Lummis (R) 73% Trauner (D) 23% +50 50-point margin in Senate race
2018 Barrasso (R, inc.) 67% Trauner (D) 30% +37 Strong R incumbency hold
2014 Barrasso (R, inc.) 71% Hardy (D) 21% +50 Most R state in nation consistently

Race Analysis

The Cheney Lesson

What Wyoming Taught American Politics About Primary Accountability

Liz Cheney’s 37-point primary loss in August 2022 was one of the most revealing elections of the Trump era. Cheney had impeccable conservative credentials — daughter of Dick Cheney, 100% rating from the American Conservative Union before 2021, strong on defense and fiscal conservatism. But her vote to impeach Trump after January 6 and her role as vice chair of the January 6 Select Committee made her radioactive in Wyoming’s Republican electorate. Trump endorsed Harriet Hageman, a water rights attorney, and virtually every Wyoming Republican official aligned against Cheney. She raised $15 million — vastly more than Hageman — and lost by 37 points anyway. The result demonstrated that in R+43 Wyoming, crossing Trump in any meaningful way ends a Republican political career. The primary, not the general election, is the only election that matters.

Barrasso Profile

Orthopedic Surgeon to Senate Leadership

John Barrasso is an orthopedic surgeon who served in the Wyoming state senate before being appointed to the US Senate in 2007 to fill the vacancy left by Craig Thomas’s death. He has won re-election by margins ranging from 37 to 50 points. In the Senate, he has served in Republican leadership as Policy Committee Chairman — a senior position responsible for shaping the party’s legislative agenda. His policy focus areas include energy (Wyoming coal and oil), public lands (where Wyoming has enormous federal land holdings), and healthcare (from his medical background). He has been a consistent opponent of climate legislation and a supporter of fossil fuel development on federal lands — positions that align precisely with Wyoming’s economic interests and political culture. He is up for re-election in 2026 and faces no serious opposition.

Cynthia Lummis

Bitcoin Senator and Crypto Regulation Pioneer

Cynthia Lummis is one of the Senate’s most prominent voices on cryptocurrency regulation — an unusual distinction for a senator from the least populous state. She has held Bitcoin since 2013 and has become the Senate’s leading advocate for a regulatory framework that treats Bitcoin as a commodity rather than a security, and for creating clear rules that would allow cryptocurrency to function as a store of value and payment system. The Lummis-Gillibrand Responsible Financial Innovation Act proposed comprehensive crypto regulation. Her advocacy has made her a fixture in crypto industry circles far beyond Wyoming’s normal political footprint. She serves on the Senate Banking Committee, giving her jurisdiction over the regulatory framework that will govern the crypto industry. In the Trump era, she has pushed for the US to create a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve — a proposal that gained presidential attention after Trump expressed openness to the idea.

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