Hawaii voting history
POLLING HISTORY — HAWAII

Hawaii: Presidential Voting History

D+30 state — presidential results 2012–2024 with margin analysis

Partisan Rating
D+30
Cook PVI / Presidential lean
2020 Result
Biden 63% / Trump 34%
Presidential election
Capital
Honolulu
4 Electoral Votes

Presidential Election Results 2012–2024

Year D % R % Winner Margin Context
2020 63% 34% Biden D +29 Biden +29; high mail-in ballot turnout driven by COVID and existing vote-by-mail culture.
2016 62% 30% Clinton D +32 Clinton +32; Trump performs worst of any state in 2016 relative to Romney.
2012 71% 28% Obama D +43 Obama +43; home state of Obama, historic high watermark for D margins.

State Voting Trend

The most reliably Democratic state outside the Northeast. Obama born here (2008: D+45). Multiracial Pacific heritage, large Asian American and Native Hawaiian blocs, and strong union presence in tourism/government produce consistent 30-point D margins.

Senator: Mazie Hirono (D)  •  Governor: Josh Green (D)  •  Electoral Votes: 4  •  Population: 1.4M

LIVE
Generic Ballot Democrats47.8% Republicans41.1% D+6.7 Trump Approval Approve39% Disapprove58% Senate D47 R53 House D213 R222 Generic Ballot Tracker Trump Approval Senate 2026 House 2026 Latest Analysis