Partisan Rating
D+12
Cook PVI / Presidential lean
2020 Result
Biden 57% / Trump 41%
Presidential election
Capital
Trenton
14 Electoral Votes
Presidential Election Results 2012–2024
| Year | D % | R % | Winner | Margin | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 57% | 41% | Biden | D +16 | Biden +16; NYC metro suburbs consolidate D as commuter professionals move against Trump. |
| 2016 | 55% | 41% | Clinton | D +14 | Clinton +14; holds despite national environment tightening. |
| 2012 | 58% | 40% | Obama | D +18 | Obama +18; Sandy recovery dominated final week, possibly boosted Obama. |
State Voting Trend
Reliably Democratic since 1992 in presidential elections. Dense NYC metro suburbs in Bergen, Essex, and Hudson counties anchor D margins. Suburban shift since 2016 has moved once-competitive Morris and Monmouth counties closer to toss-up.
Senator: Andy Kim (D) • Governor: Phil Murphy (D) • Electoral Votes: 14 • Population: 9.3M