USRaces / 2028

2028 Democratic presidential primary polls

27 polls · Kamala Harris leads the average

Last updated: 15 Sep 2026
Leading
Kamala Harris
24.9%
Second
Gavin Newsom
14.7%
Lead
+10.2
points, 3 pollsters

Primary polling average

Latest poll from each pollster

Early primary polls measure name recognition more than voter intent. Source: VoteHub (CC BY 4.0).

All polls

PollsterDateDetailsKamala HarrisGavin NewsomPete ButtigiegAlexandria Ocasio-CortezJosh ShapiroMark Kelly
Big Data Poll15 Sep 2026n=1,329 · LV · Sep 13–Sep 1526.716.110.3–5.55.4
Noble Predictive Insights16 Aug 2026n=930 · RV · Aug 12–Aug 1628.014.012.07.05.05.0
Echelon Insights14 Jun 2026n=467 · LV · Jun 11–Jun 1420.014.014.012.06.04.0
Noble Predictive Insights4 Jun 2026n=1,224 · RV · Jun 1–Jun 427.014.011.08.0––
Focaldata1 Jun 2026n=646 · LV · May 29–Jun 137.017.08.07.03.05.0
Focaldata1 Jun 2026n=657 · RV · May 29–Jun 136.017.08.07.03.05.0
Focaldata1 Jun 2026n=685 · Adults · May 29–Jun 136.016.08.07.03.05.0
HarrisX/Harris31 May 2026RV · May 29–May 3144.026.0–8.010.0–
TIPP Insights28 May 2026n=593 · RV · May 26–May 2831.014.06.05.06.04.0
Big Data Poll27 May 2026n=1,378 · LV · May 24–May 2728.017.011.09.06.06.0
Big Data Poll27 May 2026n=1,467 · RV · May 24–May 2729.016.010.09.05.06.0
Emerson College25 May 2026n=432 · LV · May 24–May 259.915.917.911.110.0–
Overton Insights20 May 2026LV · May 16–May 209.013.016.012.08.04.0
Echelon Insights18 May 2026n=501 · LV · May 14–May 1823.017.010.011.05.06.0
McLaughlin & Associates18 May 2026n=459 · LV · May 12–May 1828.016.09.07.06.0–
Lord Ashcroft Polls17 May 2026n=4,203 · Adults · Apr 28–May 1733.017.09.09.05.06.0
Lake Research Partners11 May 2026n=800 · LV · May 6–May 1125.017.015.09.06.08.0
AtlasIntel7 May 2026Adults · May 4–May 713.021.022.026.02.0–
Focaldata5 May 2026n=1,339 · RV · May 1–May 538.016.28.98.55.15.6
Focaldata5 May 2026n=1,430 · Adults · May 1–May 538.615.68.38.55.42.5
HarrisX/Harris26 Apr 2026RV · Apr 23–Apr 2650.022.0–8.09.0–
Verasight23 Apr 2026n=864 · Adults · Apr 21–Apr 2322.015.012.013.04.06.0
Echelon Insights20 Apr 2026n=467 · LV · Apr 17–Apr 2022.021.012.010.05.03.0
McLaughlin & Associates15 Apr 2026n=457 · LV · Apr 8–Apr 1529.015.010.04.04.0–
YouGov13 Apr 2026n=968 · Adults · Apr 8–Apr 1324.012.09.09.04.05.0
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Generic Ballot Democrats49.3% Republicans41.9% D+7.4 Trump Approval Approve37% Disapprove60% Senate D47 R53 House D213 R222 Generic Ballot Tracker Trump Approval Senate 2026 House 2026 Latest Analysis

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