USRaces / 2028

2028 Republican presidential primary polls

27 polls · JD Vance leads the average

Last updated: 15 Sep 2026
Leading
JD Vance
40.4%
Second
Marco Rubio
16.2%
Lead
+24.2
points, 3 pollsters

Primary polling average

Latest poll from each pollster

Early primary polls measure name recognition more than voter intent. Source: VoteHub (CC BY 4.0).

All polls

PollsterDateDetailsJD VanceMarco RubioRon DeSantisRobert F. Kennedy Jr.Nikki HaleyTed Cruz
Big Data Poll15 Sep 2026n=1,110 · LV · Sep 13–Sep 1538.315.78.46.35.83.9
Noble Predictive Insights16 Aug 2026n=930 · RV · Aug 12–Aug 1641.018.06.0–3.04.0
Echelon Insights14 Jun 2026n=466 · LV · Jun 11–Jun 1442.015.06.03.0–2.0
Noble Predictive Insights4 Jun 2026n=1,064 · RV · Jun 1–Jun 436.017.07.0–3.05.0
Focaldata1 Jun 2026n=632 · LV · May 29–Jun 138.018.09.05.0–3.0
Focaldata1 Jun 2026n=641 · RV · May 29–Jun 137.018.09.05.0–3.0
HarrisX/Harris31 May 2026RV · May 29–May 3145.021.0––––
Focaldata29 May 2026n=667 · Adults · May 29–May 2937.018.09.05.0–3.0
TIPP Insights28 May 2026n=561 · RV · May 26–May 2829.012.06.04.02.03.0
Big Data Poll27 May 2026n=1,148 · LV · May 24–May 2737.016.07.06.04.03.0
Big Data Poll27 May 2026n=1,247 · RV · May 24–May 2736.015.07.06.04.04.0
Emerson College25 May 2026n=432 · LV · May 24–May 2535.534.65.43.14.60.7
Overton Insights20 May 2026LV · May 16–May 2039.032.09.0–4.0–
J.L. Partners19 May 2026n=496 · LV · May 15–May 1947.018.09.0–3.04.0
Echelon Insights18 May 2026n=418 · LV · May 14–May 1836.017.012.02.0–2.0
McLaughlin & Associates18 May 2026n=431 · LV · May 12–May 1832.015.06.0–5.0–
Lord Ashcroft Polls17 May 2026n=3,804 · Adults · Apr 28–May 1732.013.07.05.0–3.0
AtlasIntel7 May 2026Adults · May 4–May 730.045.011.0–––
Focaldata5 May 2026n=1,291 · RV · May 1–May 540.013.97.55.3–2.8
Focaldata5 May 2026n=1,352 · Adults · May 1–May 540.313.47.35.7–2.8
HarrisX/Harris26 Apr 2026RV · Apr 23–Apr 2648.016.09.0–––
Verasight23 Apr 2026n=802 · Adults · Apr 21–Apr 2337.016.07.0–4.02.0
Echelon Insights20 Apr 2026n=467 · LV · Apr 17–Apr 2042.014.08.02.0–1.0
McLaughlin & Associates15 Apr 2026n=422 · LV · Apr 8–Apr 1535.013.07.0–3.0–
YouGov13 Apr 2026n=825 · Adults · Apr 8–Apr 1336.013.06.02.01.02.0
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Generic Ballot Democrats49.3% Republicans41.9% D+7.4 Trump Approval Approve37% Disapprove60% Senate D47 R53 House D213 R222 Generic Ballot Tracker Trump Approval Senate 2026 House 2026 Latest Analysis

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