USRaces / Senate
Michigan Senate race 2026: polls
Last updated: 30 Sep 2026
Leading in average
Abdul El-Sayed
48.0%
Second
Mike Rogers
44.8%
Margin
+3.2
points, average of 8 pollsters
Latest poll
30 Sep 2026
Trafalgar Group
Polling average
Latest poll from each pollster (8 pollsters)
Average of the most recent poll per pollster. Polls differ in population (likely voters, registered voters, adults); see details below. Source: VoteHub (CC BY 4.0).
All polls
44 polls in the database
| Pollster | Date | Details | Abdul El-Sayed | Mike Rogers | Lydia Christensen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trafalgar Group | 30 Sep 2026 | n=1,085 · LV · Sep 28–Sep 30 | 47.0 | 45.0 | 2.0 |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 28 Sep 2026 | n=1,028 · LV · Sep 24–Sep 28 | 50.0 | 49.0 | – |
| co/efficient | 23 Sep 2026 | n=843 · LV · Sep 21–Sep 23 | 50.0 | 50.0 | – |
| The New York Times/Siena University | 22 Sep 2026 | n=605 · LV · Sep 15–Sep 22 | 49.0 | 44.0 | – |
| Cygnal/Beacon Research | 21 Sep 2026 | n=600 · LV · Sep 18–Sep 21 | 45.0 | 40.0 | 1.0 |
| Suffolk University | 20 Sep 2026 | n=500 · LV · Sep 16–Sep 20 | 47.0 | 40.0 | 1.0 |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government | 14 Sep 2026 | n=803 · LV · Sep 10–Sep 14 | 48.0 | 45.0 | – |
| Emerson College | 14 Sep 2026 | n=1,000 · LV · Sep 12–Sep 14 | 48.2 | 45.7 | 0.5 |
| Trafalgar Group | 9 Sep 2026 | n=1,079 · LV · Sep 7–Sep 9 | 46.3 | 44.8 | 0.8 |
| EPIC-MRA | 28 Aug 2026 | n=600 · LV · Aug 22–Aug 28 | 47.0 | 43.0 | – |
| Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov | 20 Aug 2026 | n=779 · LV · Aug 10–Aug 20 | 50.0 | 45.0 | – |
| Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov | 20 Aug 2026 | n=913 · RV · Aug 10–Aug 20 | 48.0 | 44.0 | – |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research | 17 Aug 2026 | n=800 · RV · Aug 11–Aug 17 | 46.0 | 39.0 | – |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research | 11 Aug 2026 | n=877 · LV · Aug 9–Aug 11 | 48.0 | 47.0 | – |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 10 Aug 2026 | n=1,006 · RV · Aug 6–Aug 10 | 47.0 | 51.0 | – |
| GBAO Strategies | 10 Aug 2026 | n=800 · LV · Aug 6–Aug 10 | 50.0 | 44.0 | – |
| TIPP Insights | 10 Aug 2026 | n=1,528 · RV · Aug 6–Aug 10 | 45.0 | 42.0 | – |
| EPIC-MRA | 31 Jul 2026 | n=600 · LV · Jul 24–Jul 31 | 43.0 | 46.0 | – |
| EPIC-MRA | 31 Jul 2026 | n=600 · LV · Jul 24–Jul 31 | – | 42.0 | – |
| SoCal Strategies | 30 Jul 2026 | n=640 · LV · Jul 28–Jul 30 | 41.0 | 42.0 | – |
| SoCal Strategies | 30 Jul 2026 | n=640 · LV · Jul 28–Jul 30 | – | 42.0 | – |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | 29 Jul 2026 | n=672 · LV · Jul 28–Jul 29 | 45.0 | 45.0 | – |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | 29 Jul 2026 | n=672 · LV · Jul 28–Jul 29 | – | 45.0 | – |
| Glengariff Group, Inc. | 24 Jul 2026 | n=600 · LV · Jul 22–Jul 24 | 38.7 | 49.0 | – |
| Glengariff Group, Inc. | 24 Jul 2026 | n=600 · LV · Jul 22–Jul 24 | – | 44.7 | – |
