Canada – Polls & Elections

Latest polls, parties and elections in Canada. House of Commons voting intention: Liberal Party leads on 46.8% ahead of Conservative Party (31.5%).

Last updated: 3 Oct 2026

Leading

Liberal Party

46.8%

Lead

15.3 pts

over Conservative Party

Pollsters

Latest poll: 25 Sep 2026

Next election

due by October 2029

Federal election

Current picture

House of Commons voting intention · If an election were held today

All polls →

Liberal Party46.8%+1.6 pts Conservative Party31.5%−1.5 pts New Democratic Party10.5%−0.5 pts Bloc Québécois6.5%+0.5 pts Green Party2.5%−0.5 pts

2025 federal election

As of: 25 Sep 2026 · Method: Average of the latest poll from 6 pollsters · Source: Abacus Data, Angus Reid, Ipsos, Liaison Strategies, Léger, Nanos Research, 338Canada
Polls are snapshots, not forecasts.

Political system

House of Commons

343 seats · Majority from 172 seats

Electoral system

First Past the Post in 343 single-member ridings

Polling trend

Rolling average across recent polls

Liberal PartyConservative PartyNew Democratic PartyBloc QuébécoisGreen Party

Latest polls

Individual pollster surveys, newest first

All polls →

Pollster	Date	Details	Liberal Party	Conservative Party	New Democratic Party	Bloc Québécois	Green Party
Nanos Research	25 Sep 2026	n=1,022	50.0	28.0	11.0	6.0	4.0
Abacus Data	21 Sep 2026	n=2,744	46.0	34.0	9.0	7.0	2.0
Liaison Strategies	20 Sep 2026	n=1,526	46.0	29.0	15.0	6.0	2.0
Nanos Research	18 Sep 2026	n=1,026	48.0	31.0	11.0	5.0	3.0
Liaison Strategies	13 Sep 2026	n=1,526	45.0	31.0	15.0	6.0	2.0
Nanos Research	11 Sep 2026	n=1,014	48.0	31.0	11.0	5.0	3.0
Abacus Data	7 Sep 2026	n=1,479	47.0	33.0	8.0	7.0	3.0
Liaison Strategies	6 Sep 2026	n=1,526	44.0	32.0	14.0	6.0	2.0

Elections

Federal election

National

due by October 2029

Parties

All parties →

Liberal PartyLiberal Party46.8%›Conservative PartyConservative Party31.5%›New Democratic PartyNew Democratic Party10.5%›Bloc QuébécoisBloc Québécois6.5%›Green PartyGreen Party2.5%›

History

vs 2025 federal election

Party	2025 federal election	Poll average	Change
Liberal Party	43.8%	46.8%	+3.0 pts
Conservative Party	41.3%	31.5%	−9.8 pts
New Democratic Party	6.3%	10.5%	+4.2 pts
Bloc Québécois	6.3%	6.5%	+0.2 pts
Green Party	1.2%	2.5%	+1.3 pts